Momentum and the Golden Goose — Today’s Picks Explained
The catalysts that cause our picks to be chosen and their expected outcomes are how we will push forward into the new year.
Here are today’s Golden Goose Picks setups, and more importantly, why they made the list. Each name passed the structural filters (surge → recoil → volume), but the real story is in the Momentum (Lift) — the historical seasonal behavior that predicts whether a setup is likely to follow through or fade.
Each Lift value shown here is based on January’s historical performance. Since we’re only two days away from a new month, the system scans will shift to February’s seasonal history, and the Lift values will update accordingly.
We are currently in December. The Lift value for each stock indicates the expected performance going into January. The higher the Lift value the better.
First the full explanation for these selections:
MRM — Lift +10.42 (Tier A)
Why it was picked:
o Inside the recoil zone
o Clean surge structure
o Strong January seasonal behavior
o Recent filing adds context
Expected outcome: Lift above +10 has consistently produced fast, favorable follow‑through in your evaluations. MRM sits right at the threshold where seasonal momentum begins to matter.
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FNKO — Lift +2.74 (Tier B)
Why it was picked:
o Structurally valid recoil setup
o Good volume and timing
o But seasonal momentum is below the +10 threshold
Expected outcome: FNKO can still move, but historically low Lift names underperform compared to Tier A setups. This is a structurally sound trade with a weaker seasonal tailwind.
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EBON — Lift +41.43 (Tier A)
Why it was picked:
o Deep inside the recoil zone
o Strong surge behavior
o Extremely high January momentum
o One of the strongest seasonal profiles on the list
Expected outcome: Names with Lift above +30 have shown the highest follow‑through probability in your recent evaluations. EBON is the kind of setup that historically produces outsized short‑term strength.
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JVA — Lift +14.99 (Tier A)
Why it was picked:
o Perfect recoil alignment
o Strong seasonal momentum
o Recent filing confirms activity
o Clean surge date
Expected outcome: Lift in the +10 to +20 range has consistently produced solid, reliable follow‑through in your back tests and recent real‑world results. JVA fits that profile exactly.The Golden Goose Picks most recent listing with the selections shown above:
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** MRM ** MEDIROM Healthcare Technologies Inc
Current: $2.13
Recoil Zone: $1.88 to $2.16 — ✅Within Recoil Zone✅
📅 Surge Date: 2025-12-26
📈 Jan Momentum: +10.42 | Market Trend Reliability: 62.2
🟩 Seasonal Strength: Tier A (Strong)
MRM: NON USA
MRM: 6-K filed on 2025-12-29
— General disclosure: review for context
📄 Summary: 1 6-K filings
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** FNKO ** Funko Inc - Class A
Current: $3.37
Recoil Zone: $3.34 to $3.44 — ✅Within Recoil Zone✅
📅 Surge Date: 2025-12-26
📈 Jan Momentum: +2.74 | Market Trend Reliability: 78.4
🟨 Seasonal Strength: Tier B (Moderate)
⚠️ Seasonal Momentum Below Threshold (< +10)
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** EBON ** Ebang International Holdings Inc - Class A
Current: $3.21
Recoil Zone: $2.85 to $3.24 — ✅Within Recoil Zone✅
📅 Surge Date: 2025-12-26
📈 Jan Momentum: +41.43 | Market Trend Reliability: 64.9
🟩 Seasonal Strength: Tier A (Strong)
EBON: NON USA
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** JVA ** Coffee Holding Co Inc
Current: $3.94
Recoil Zone: $3.91 to $4.02 — ✅Within Recoil Zone✅
📅 Surge Date: 2025-12-26
📈 Jan Momentum: +14.99 | Market Trend Reliability: 73.0
🟩 Seasonal Strength: Tier A (Strong)
JVA: 8-K filed on 2025-12-23
— Narrative update: confirms recent events or strategic shifts
📄 Summary: 1 8-K filings
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Legend (Not all items will appear for each stock):
👉 Filings indicators:
⭐ Opportunity signal — insider activity
⚠️ Caution signal — dilution or insider sale
📄 Routine filing — neutral disclosure
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⚡ Compression Pattern Detected (5–10 Day Range)
A tight price structure where highs and lows contract over several days.
This often reflects reduced volatility, repeated support tests, and coiled energy.
👉 Practical takeaway: Compression frequently precedes expansion — a breakout or surge may follow.
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✅ Within Recoil Zone ✅
The stock is trading inside its defined recoil range.
This typically reflects a pause in momentum or reduced activity.
👉 Practical takeaway: It’s in the calculated zone where trend reversal is possible.
🎯 High-Conviction Recoil Watch 🎯
Volume has surged within the last 5 days, and a Form 4 or 8‑K was filed within the last 3 days.
👉 Reader note: This condition is not auto‑tagged in the list. Review each entry to see if filings and volume align — when they do, the setup strengthens and a spike may be forming.
📅 Surge Date
The date when the stock experienced its major volume‑driven expansion move. This marks the beginning of the surge–recoil lifecycle and anchors all timing analysis that follows.
📈 {Month Name} Momentum
The stock’s average performance over a 5-Year period for the upcoming month. This measures how strongly the stock participated in the broader market trend during that period. Higher values indicate stronger alignment with market momentum.
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** 🚨 High‑Impact Predictive Indicators (Essential for Interpreting Results) **
📊 Market Trend Reliability
A behavioral score showing how consistently the stock follows the overall market trend. Higher reliability means the stock tends to move with the market rather than against it, making its surge–recoil behavior more trustworthy.
⚠️ Important Warning — Weak Seasonal Lift (< +10)
Stocks with seasonal momentum below +10% have historically shown significantly lower follow‑through probability and tend to move more slowly or fail to trigger at all. These setups are still included for transparency, but they carry higher risk and should be approached with caution.
🟩 Seasonal Strength: Tier A
Strong seasonal momentum (≥ +10). High‑probability setups
with historically strong follow‑through.
🟨 Seasonal Strength: Tier B
Moderate seasonal momentum (0 to +9.99). Neutral setups;
follow‑through depends on surge strength.
🟥 Seasonal Strength: Tier C
Weak seasonal momentum (< 0). Low‑probability setups
with historically poor follow‑through.
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🚨 Notes: Watch for after-hours price spikes / drops.
** Price may fade back into zone after close — verify before tagging conviction. **
Warning: *This list is for informational purposes only.
It does not constitute financial advice or trade recommendations.
Generated at: Date: 2025-12-30 Time: 01:44:09