Golden Goose Picks — GG-260213-01
🐈⬛ Friday the 13th. What AI is telling us about this period of confusion. 🪜
** see today’s listing at the end
🟡 The behavioral translation
You’re not seeing a broken market.
You’re seeing a market in the fog-of-war phase:
liquidity thinning
volatility rising
correlations collapsing
safe havens not acting like safe havens
crypto unwinding
gold waiting for clarity
🌩️ What You’re Seeing Right Now
The system is already diagnosing the environment:
⚡ VIX Warning
🟧 Weak Recoil showing up
Mixed index trends
Whipsaw
Liquidity thinning
Crypto unwinding
Gold not responding
This is the classic signature of a liquidity contraction, not a crash.
And liquidity contractions have a very specific lifecycle.
⏳ How Long Can a Liquidity Contraction Last?
Here’s the behavioral truth:
1. Short contractions: 3–10 days
These are the “shakeout” phases.
They clear weak hands, reset positioning, and resolve quickly.
2. Medium contractions: 2–6 weeks
These happen when:
VIX stays elevated
indices can’t agree
macro uncertainty lingers
liquidity providers step back
This is the most common duration.
3. Long contractions: 2–4 months
These are rare and usually tied to:
policy shifts
credit stress
geopolitical shocks
major liquidity drains
But even these don’t last forever — they transition into a new regime.
🧠 The Key Insight
You’re not in a “market dying” scenario.
You’re in a market recalibrating scenario.
And recalibrations last until volatility cools.
The system already knows this.
The moment the ⚡ VIX Warning disappears, the contraction is ending.
📈 What Ends This Phase
Three things:
1. VIX cools
Your volatility module will catch this instantly.
2. Indices re-sync
SPY, QQQ, and DIA stop disagreeing.
3. Liquidity returns
You’ll see it first in SAFE & READY setups —
they’ll start resolving cleanly again.
Golden Goose Picks — GG-260213-01
----------------------------------------------
** HLLY ** Holley Inc - Class A
Current: $4.18
Recoil Zone: $3.63 to $4.19
📅 Surge Date: 2026-02-06
📈 Mar Momentum (Lift): +9.22 | Market Trend Reliability: 67.6
🟨 Seasonal Strength: Tier B (Moderate)
⏳ Expected Recovery: 3 - 6 days
🏆 Buy Score: 0 (Lift) + 1 (Reliability) = 1
🔀 Moving Avgs Trend Alignment: Last Close > 10 > 20 < 50
🟩 SAFE & READY —⚡ SEE VIX WARNING ⚡
----------------------------------------------
** WDH ** Waterdrop Inc
Current: $1.77
Recoil Zone: $1.57 to $1.81
📅 Surge Date: 2026-02-03
📈 Mar Momentum (Lift): +5.59 | Market Trend Reliability: 70.3
🟨 Seasonal Strength: Tier B (Moderate)
⏳ Expected Recovery: 3 - 6 days
🏆 Buy Score: 0 (Lift) + 1 (Reliability) = 1
🔀 Moving Avgs Trend Alignment: Last Close < 10 > 20 < 50
🟩 SAFE & READY —⚡ SEE VIX WARNING ⚡
⚠️ WDH: NON-USA — Can Be Unpredictable
----------------------------------------------
** ACTG ** Acacia Research Corp
Current: $3.97
Recoil Zone: $3.78 to $4.13
📅 Surge Date: 2026-02-06
📈 Mar Momentum (Lift): +0.07 | Market Trend Reliability: 78.4
🟨 Seasonal Strength: Tier B (Moderate)
⏳ Expected Recovery: 3 - 6 days
🏆 Buy Score: 0 (Lift) + 2 (Reliability) = 2
🔀 Moving Avgs Trend Alignment: Last Close < 10 > 20 > 50
🟧 WEAK RECOIL —⚡ VIX Volatility Warning ⚡
ACTG: 8-K filed on 2026-02-06
— Narrative update: confirms recent events or strategic shifts
📄 Summary: 1 8-K filings
----------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------
** EVGO ** EVgo Inc - Class A
Current: $2.92
Recoil Zone: $2.75 to $3.13
📅 Surge Date: 2026-02-06
📈 Mar Momentum (Lift): +10.06 | Market Trend Reliability: 56.8
🟩 Seasonal Strength: Tier A (Strong)
⏳ Expected Recovery: 3 - 6 days
🏆 Buy Score: 2 (Lift) + 1 (Reliability) = 3
📉 Moving Avgs Trend Alignment: Last Close < 10 < 20 < 50
🟧 WEAK RECOIL —⚡ VIX Volatility Warning ⚡
============================================================
🌐 3-Day Market Trends: SPY: DOWN | QQQ: MIXED | DIA: DOWN
⚡ VIX Volatility Warning: Recent large swings in major indices ⚡
⚡ indicate an unstable environment that may delay
⚡resolution of recent entries.
Whipsaw triggered by: DIA, SPY, QQQ
============================================================
------------------------------------------------------------
Legend:
============================================================================
Buy Score — A simple scoring system (0–5) based on Seasonal Lift and reliability.
* higher scores indicate stronger setups *
(**) A Buy Score of 5 suggests a strong buy opportunity.
============================================================================
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Recoil Zone —
The price window where a stock usually dips and stabilizes after a surge.
If price is inside this zone, the behavior is normal and expected.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Behavioral Signals:
🟩 SAFE & READY —
The stock is inside the recoil zone and the surge‑recoil structure is intact.
This is the actionable moment — the setup is behaviorally valid.
🟨 WAIT‑FOR‑DIP —
The stock is above the recoil zone.
The surge is valid, but price is too high. Wait for a pullback into the zone.
🟨 WAIT FOR ZONE RECOVERY —
The stock has dipped below the recoil zone.
The setup is still valid, but price must recover back into the zone before it becomes actionable.
🟥 SURGE & RECOIL BROKEN —
The surge failed integrity or the recoil structure is invalid.
This setup is no longer behaviorally tradable.
🟧 WEAK RECOIL — Lower Recoil Zone
The stock is inside the recoil zone but trading in the lower two‑thirds of the range.
Buyer strength is present but not dominant, and the recoil is forming from a weaker position.
The setup remains valid, but momentum has not yet shifted decisively back to the upside.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Momentum (Lift) & Reliability -
Context indicators showing how strong the recent movement is and how often
similar setups have followed through historically.
Seasonal Strength (Tier A/B/C)
A quick read on how the stock typically behaves during this time of year.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclaimer: *This list is for informational purposes only.
It does not constitute financial advice or trade recommendations.*
Generated at: Date: 2026-02-13 Time: 03:42:57